Every day the site opens 10,000 Flesh and Blood boxes at random, at that day's TCGplayer Near Mint lows, to see how far one box lands from the average.
Mastery Pack Assassin
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 39% of all the card value.
68% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($82.85); 45% are worth more than the box ($60.25).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 36%, Cold Foil Marvel 23%, Extended Art 14%.
Usurp the Shadow Throne
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 31% of all the card value.
63% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($76.13); 29% are worth more than the box ($89.98).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 41%, Cold Foil Marvel 17%, Rainbow Foil Majestic 13%.
Mastery Pack Warrior
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 43% of all the card value.
73% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($41.96); 23% are worth more than the box ($47.50).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 35%, Cold Foil Marvel 28%, Rainbow Foil Legendary 13%.
Omens of the Third Age
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 34% of all the card value.
65% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($51.83); 41% are worth more than the box ($44.88).
Most of the average comes from Extended Art Cold Foil Majestic 19%, Majestic 18%, Rainbow Foil Legendary 13%.
Compendium of Rathe
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 41% of all the card value.
70% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($94.59); 38% are worth more than the box ($72.75).
Most of the average comes from Legendary 17%, Antiquity Legendary 16%, Majestic 12%.
Super Slam
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 38% of all the card value.
68% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($56.80); 44% are worth more than the box ($45.00).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 25%, Cold Foil Marvel 13%, Rainbow Foil Legendary 11%.
Mastery Pack Guardian
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 41% of all the card value.
64% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($61.78); 32% are worth more than the box ($79.99).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 40%, Cold Foil Marvel 22%, Rainbow Foil Legendary 16%.
High Seas
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 34% of all the card value.
67% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($88.57); 30% are worth more than the box ($95.85).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 28%, Treasure Pack Cold Foil 24%, Cold Foil Marvel 12%.
The Hunted
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 28% of all the card value.
61% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($132.59); 42% are worth more than the box ($125.00).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 39%, Rainbow Foil Majestic 14%, Rainbow Foil Legendary 12%.
Rosetta
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 28% of all the card value.
62% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($83.74); 14% are worth more than the box ($150.60).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 41%, Rainbow Foil Legendary 20%, Rainbow Foil Majestic 16%.
Part the Mistveil
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
Gold Pack Rainbow Foil Legendary (Enigma, New Moon)
1
1 in 19 boxes
$5.50
$0.29
Cold Foil Majestic
5
1 in 10 boxes
$4.82
$0.46
Extended Art Rainbow Foil Majestic
2
1 in 41 boxes
$49.67
$1.22
Cold Foil Marvel
18
1 in 4 boxes
$84.04
$21.04
Cold Foil Rare
3
1 in 12 boxes
$0.49
$0.04
Cold Foil Common
14
1 in 2 boxes
$0.55
$0.26
Cards in a box
$68.56
Box, low
$59.46
Ratio
115%
Rows in parentheses are shown but not counted.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 33% of all the card value.
65% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($68.56); 42% are worth more than the box ($59.46).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 37%, Cold Foil Marvel 31%, Rainbow Foil Majestic 15%.
Heavy Hitters
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 32% of all the card value.
66% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($64.57); 25% are worth more than the box ($78.78).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 39%, Rainbow Foil Legendary 18%, Rainbow Foil Majestic 16%.
Bright Lights
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 37% of all the card value.
70% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($63.16); 33% are worth more than the box ($59.99).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 30%, Non-foil Legendary 28%, Cold Foil Marvel 14%.
Dusk till Dawn
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 36% of all the card value.
65% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($64.01); 24% are worth more than the box ($86.93).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 28%, Cold Foil Marvel 15%, Non-foil Legendary 13%.
Outsiders
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 38% of all the card value.
70% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($86.55); 20% are worth more than the box ($109.99).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 41%, Cold Foil Marvel 15%, Rainbow Foil Majestic 14%.
Dynasty
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 45% of all the card value.
71% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($63.29); 12% are worth more than the box ($104.95).
Most of the average comes from Majestic 28%, Cold Foil Marvel 24%, Cold Foil Fabled 15%.
Uprising
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
These rates are an estimate, simulated from LSS's published rates and the opened sets.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 43% of all the card value.
70% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($37.95); 18% are worth more than the box ($71.88).
Most of the average comes from Rainbow Foil Legendary 28%, Cold Foil Marvel 23%, Cold Foil Legendary 19%.
What volatility means
A Flesh and Blood box always holds about 6 Majestics, which steady its value, but much of the rest comes from rare pulls: Cold Foil Marvels, Legendaries and Extended Arts. Volatility tells you how much a box depends on pulling one of them.
Low: most boxes are worth about the same. What you open is close to the average.
Moderate: boxes vary, but most land near the average.
High: most boxes come in under the average. A few lucky boxes with a big hit make up the difference.
Extreme: the average is carried by rare hits. Most boxes are worth well under it.
For example, Dynasty scores 70 (High): the luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 45% of all the value, and 71% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($63.29).
Chance a box beats its price is simpler: out of the 10,000 boxes, how many were worth more than the box costs today.
How the number is worked out
Take the luckiest 1 box in 10 and add up how much of all the card value they hold. If every box were worth the same, that would be 10%. Volatility is (that share − 10) × 2, so 0 means every box is worth the same and 100 means the luckiest box in 10 holds 60% or more. Under 20 is Low, 20 to 49 Moderate, 50 to 79 High, 80 and up Extreme.
How a box is opened
How many of each: LSS's published pull rates (fabtcg.com Collector's Centre), 24 packs a box, 12 for Mastery Packs. Super Slam, Rosetta, The Hunted and Part the Mistveil use real hit counts from big openers for their top cards. Sets with the estimate note are simulated from LSS's rates and the opened sets. Each set's rates are in its table above.
Box to box: every pack is drawn on its own, so a box can hold more or fewer of each than the average. Compendium of Rathe's Antiquity Rare is exactly 1 a box.
Which card: every card of a type is equally likely, except Marvels, weighted by how many are listed on TCGplayer (fewer listings, harder to pull), and Extended Arts, weighted by the base card's rarity.
Prices: each card's TCGplayer Near Mint low on Nov 13, 2026, without shipping. Regular Rares, Commons and Basics are not counted. Rows in parentheses are shown but not counted.
Average box: the same card value as Rip or Hold. The 10,000 boxes average out to it.