Every day the site opens 10,000 Cyberpunk boxes at random, at that day's TCGplayer Near Mint lows, to see how far one box lands from the average.
Welcome to Night City - Retail
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 35% of all the card value.
68% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($100.87); 27% are worth more than the box ($114.19).
Most of the average comes from Iconic 67%, Epic 21%, Secret 6%.
Welcome to Night City - Beta
Each bar is how many of the 10,000 boxes were worth that much. Boxes right of the dashed line are worth more than the box price. 5% of boxes land past the right edge.
The luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 38% of all the card value.
72% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($233.78); 17% are worth more than the box ($315.94).
Most of the average comes from Iconic 70%, Epic 17%, Box Topper 8%.
What volatility means
Most of what a Cyberpunk box is worth comes from its Iconics: about 2 in a Beta box and 1 or 2 in a Retail box, and most of all the rare Iconic Secret Rares. Volatility tells you how much a box depends on pulling a good one.
Low: most boxes are worth about the same. What you open is close to the average.
Moderate: boxes vary, but most land near the average.
High: most boxes come in under the average. A few lucky boxes with a big hit make up the difference.
Extreme: the average is carried by rare hits. Most boxes are worth well under it.
For example, Welcome to Night City - Beta scores 56 (High): the luckiest 1 box in 10 holds 38% of all the value, and 72% of boxes are worth less than the average box ($233.78).
Chance a box beats its price is simpler: out of the 10,000 boxes, how many were worth more than the box costs today.
How the number is worked out
Take the luckiest 1 box in 10 and add up how much of all the card value they hold. If every box were worth the same, that would be 10%. Volatility is (that share − 10) × 2, so 0 means every box is worth the same and 100 means the luckiest box in 10 holds 60% or more. Under 20 is Low, 20 to 49 Moderate, 50 to 79 High, 80 and up Extreme.
How a box is opened
How many of each: WeirdCo's published rates. Per pack: Epic 1 in 4, Iconic 1 in 18, Secret 1 in 24. Beta has 36 packs a box, Retail 24. The Box Topper is exactly 1 a box. Each set's rates are in its table above.
Box to box: every pack is drawn on its own, so a box can hold more or fewer of each than the average.
Which card: every card of a type is equally likely, except Legends, which come a third as often, and Iconic Secret Rares, a ninth as often as other Iconics (an estimate).
Prices: each card's TCGplayer Near Mint low on Nov 13, 2026, without shipping. Commons and uncommons are not counted. Rares are shown in parentheses but not counted.
Average box: the same card value as Rip or Hold. The 10,000 boxes average out to it.